IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/opp

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "123f583942e101697bc2",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "opp",
  "activos": [
    "ETHUSDT-4h"
  ],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:02.050343+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": 0.6,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "2ca753cb4a44c5624352"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 41,
        "net_R": 94.1678185544805,
        "expectancy_R": 2.2967760623044025,
        "pf": 3.5836848734259306,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.630407145516246,
        "win_rate": 0.14634146341463414,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 20,
        "net_R": -11.3026812429888,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5651340621494401,
        "pf": 0.42910732457557105,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.628553252058907,
        "win_rate": 0.05,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 15,
        "net_R": 8.8224990754603,
        "expectancy_R": 0.5881666050306866,
        "pf": 1.6536035382141565,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.158437015219699,
        "win_rate": 0.13333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 75766.62,
        "rd": 1274.621262192145,
        "sl": 74491.99873780785,
        "tp": 78315.86252438428,
        "highest": 87395.67,
        "lowest": 75064.82,
        "bars": 194,
        "open_ts": "2026-09-16 08:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 4.196369728527003
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "d35cecb03302d916a197"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 49,
        "net_R": 53.48032255430497,
        "expectancy_R": 1.091435154169489,
        "pf": 2.200568039543923,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.813765524563971,
        "win_rate": 0.12244897959183673,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 17,
        "net_R": 17.812265593125325,
        "expectancy_R": 1.047780329007372,
        "pf": 2.1592827594696007,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.199759156164351,
        "win_rate": 0.11764705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 10,
        "net_R": 9.410007865712384,
        "expectancy_R": 0.9410007865712384,
        "pf": 2.1336127296998924,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.475660390328462,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": true,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "9c7e9e051036a209263f"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 36,
        "net_R": 85.15907350368009,
        "expectancy_R": 2.365529819546669,
        "pf": 3.7677793625242235,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.165829523041012,
        "win_rate": 0.16666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 16,
        "net_R": -4.992412843477397,
        "expectancy_R": -0.3120258027173373,
        "pf": 0.6753005521317902,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.196131283948542,
        "win_rate": 0.0625,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": -3.173858361027021,
        "expectancy_R": -0.2644881967522517,
        "pf": 0.6924917206055209,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.22933313250157,
        "win_rate": 0.16666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "5b538cedc758cbc15cf1"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 43,
        "net_R": -15.816831992837939,
        "expectancy_R": -0.3678333021590218,
        "pf": 0.6102107783457557,
        "max_drawdown_R": 20.11734696902781,
        "win_rate": 0.09302325581395349,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": 30.88806315003317,
        "expectancy_R": 2.8080057409121064,
        "pf": 4.315480235039837,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.206731326657943,
        "win_rate": 0.18181818181818182,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 13,
        "net_R": 15.196364393348222,
        "expectancy_R": 1.1689511071806324,
        "pf": 2.321612731836287,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.190629600211163,
        "win_rate": 0.15384615384615385,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "89910f1979695e7bab73"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 49,
        "net_R": -5.653578570906085,
        "expectancy_R": -0.11537915450828744,
        "pf": 0.8783232245436643,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.928755224655028,
        "win_rate": 0.08163265306122448,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 14,
        "net_R": 4.048963104683621,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2892116503345444,
        "pf": 1.329355735244889,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.186399102060146,
        "win_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 22,
        "net_R": -22.821976475049727,
        "expectancy_R": -1.037362567047715,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.821976475049727,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "cdeb5cb12e9b768602e3"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 40,
        "net_R": -2.4551606226736027,
        "expectancy_R": -0.06137901556684007,
        "pf": 0.9336658697131759,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.156968987108673,
        "win_rate": 0.15,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 18,
        "net_R": -11.360629655847834,
        "expectancy_R": -0.6311460919915464,
        "pf": 0.3518334780551121,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.360629655847834,
        "win_rate": 0.1111111111111111,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": 9.54842768292426,
        "expectancy_R": 0.7957023069103549,
        "pf": 1.8687829126716913,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.355211601917738,
        "win_rate": 0.16666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "1d0cf26bcd2edfd31621"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 43,
        "net_R": -16.664799024202036,
        "expectancy_R": -0.38755346567911714,
        "pf": 0.5899562692683052,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.39162843183741,
        "win_rate": 0.11627906976744186,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 17,
        "net_R": -9.150810252130361,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5382829560076683,
        "pf": 0.4335080304386041,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.576864629186407,
        "win_rate": 0.11764705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 20,
        "net_R": 43.746982243398215,
        "expectancy_R": 2.187349112169911,
        "pf": 3.212800062142624,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.777826763102837,
        "win_rate": 0.1,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "5a015c8e09695623db77"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 48,
        "net_R": -10.737445619833883,
        "expectancy_R": -0.22369678374653923,
        "pf": 0.7649919642791012,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.663552872089294,
        "win_rate": 0.10416666666666667,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 17,
        "net_R": -6.028174540774941,
        "expectancy_R": -0.35459850239852597,
        "pf": 0.6314702095726265,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.94938510328715,
        "win_rate": 0.11764705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": 32.72826972849639,
        "expectancy_R": 2.727355810708033,
        "pf": 4.376741442155351,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.295012836682869,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "d136f234c73662f5f508"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 40,
        "net_R": -8.867315333448886,
        "expectancy_R": -0.22168288333622216,
        "pf": 0.7662911873294317,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.524721461163367,
        "win_rate": 0.125,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 17,
        "net_R": -11.083555066914734,
        "expectancy_R": -0.6519738274655725,
        "pf": 0.32908994201053915,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.639214238470121,
        "win_rate": 0.11764705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 15,
        "net_R": 15.951246988130045,
        "expectancy_R": 1.0634164658753362,
        "pf": 2.1014477894745833,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.869345482812346,
        "win_rate": 0.13333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_GRAVESTONEDOJI",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "bc6f00decf7293076844"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 43,
        "net_R": -5.025193089874131,
        "expectancy_R": -0.11686495557846817,
        "pf": 0.8766200087593007,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.54678253721761,
        "win_rate": 0.11627906976744186,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": -8.161950219754463,
        "expectancy_R": -0.6801625183128719,
        "pf": 0.3167443431458569,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.749030958381999,
        "win_rate": 0.08333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 15,
        "net_R": 49.97111961281962,
        "expectancy_R": 3.3314079741879747,
        "pf": 4.458881538519783,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.98429307666835,
        "win_rate": 0.13333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo