IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_STALLEDPATTERN

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/trail

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "454c16c4f3c628bbec98",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "trail",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:02.050343+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "f2bcfc3202c79653a2b1"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 8,
        "net_R": 1.5541926744042707,
        "expectancy_R": 0.19427408430053383,
        "pf": 1.4165106693727785,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.4812619850126474,
        "win_rate": 0.375,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -0.8456040099000801,
        "expectancy_R": -0.42280200495004006,
        "pf": 0.19634428108212224,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0521968424970405,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": 2.4794620612435923,
        "expectancy_R": 0.41324367687393204,
        "pf": 2.6328142089394833,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0501972364914964,
        "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "a34cf539be85c1c8ef12"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": -4.048278230573913,
        "expectancy_R": -0.8096556461147826,
        "pf": 0.005943140459077214,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.048278230573913,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": 3.600952906238889,
        "expectancy_R": 0.5144218437484127,
        "pf": 2.2485292189074517,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.884155894557252,
        "win_rate": 0.42857142857142855,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 0,
        "net_R": 0.0,
        "expectancy_R": null,
        "pf": null,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
        "win_rate": null,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "9d49a5f95a8b4a40b6ad"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 9,
        "net_R": 0.9738036010731259,
        "expectancy_R": 0.1082004001192362,
        "pf": 1.2003977200623785,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.798936935996284,
        "win_rate": 0.4444444444444444,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": 3.1784106067374664,
        "expectancy_R": 0.6356821213474932,
        "pf": 6.637111375341611,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.5638367587769815,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": 2.963230009949605,
        "expectancy_R": 0.9877433366498684,
        "pf": 6.615132658410605,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.5277221733152009,
        "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "172f2bd91ea9fe5694bc"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": 1.4110202489009027,
        "expectancy_R": 0.11758502074174189,
        "pf": 1.2365260549908421,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.203235098182121,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": -6.14027239640183,
        "expectancy_R": -0.8771817709145472,
        "pf": 0.006395014146289688,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.14027239640183,
        "win_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -0.5379783282843934,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13449458207109835,
        "pf": 0.7705625712437488,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.344771431586818,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "085b820d7022945cbeeb"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 10,
        "net_R": -4.62842788519964,
        "expectancy_R": -0.462842788519964,
        "pf": 0.31333105401210576,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.701361819079199,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.0672752526521863,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0336376263260931,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.0672752526521863,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": 0.48063332247458934,
        "expectancy_R": 0.12015833061864734,
        "pf": 1.20669333572374,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.2859212816965098,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "bafa75f392f21ed45321"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": -5.1923559531267545,
        "expectancy_R": -0.865392658854459,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.1923559531267545,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -2.3680168622264137,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5920042155566034,
        "pf": 0.2880175440510083,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.3259483326314783,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.284444335689299,
        "expectancy_R": -1.1422221678446496,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.284444335689299,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "44420f150a1cdc7f9796"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": 6.818409254475618,
        "expectancy_R": 1.7046023136189046,
        "pf": 34.16976864472918,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.20556095303242627,
        "win_rate": 0.75,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 1,
        "net_R": -0.00885244033051552,
        "expectancy_R": -0.00885244033051552,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.00885244033051552,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -1.2303237290226325,
        "expectancy_R": -0.6151618645113163,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.2303237290226325,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "abd3331ae10d1c86c7d9"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": 3.5047579047202557,
        "expectancy_R": 0.8761894761800639,
        "pf": 5.950657306902333,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.7079378933851534,
        "win_rate": 0.75,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -3.3243760703887477,
        "expectancy_R": -0.8310940175971869,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.3243760703887477,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 1,
        "net_R": -0.9576769510957643,
        "expectancy_R": -0.9576769510957643,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.9576769510957643,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "4f089190f60e7c3a1794"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 13,
        "net_R": -0.13283807909520484,
        "expectancy_R": -0.010218313776554218,
        "pf": 0.9788902882525814,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.5621843700501956,
        "win_rate": 0.38461538461538464,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 9,
        "net_R": 5.812648563554291,
        "expectancy_R": 0.6458498403949212,
        "pf": 3.2512279682257548,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.3778441287725793,
        "win_rate": 0.5555555555555556,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -1.442641677265362,
        "expectancy_R": -0.721320838632681,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.442641677265362,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_STALLEDPATTERN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "0a34bd940c2ccac95a86"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -2.1900068313110266,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5475017078277566,
        "pf": 0.1848799541251295,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.1900068313110266,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": 0.8119967629272418,
        "expectancy_R": 0.27066558764241394,
        "pf": 1.3500463353583687,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.319683655867843,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 1,
        "net_R": -0.31729591522370393,
        "expectancy_R": -0.31729591522370393,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.31729591522370393,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo