IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_RICKSHAWMAN

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/trail

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "9c625c1ca0d2c78a7273",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "trail",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:02.050343+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "34392ada6ba47312b7f5"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 258,
        "net_R": 63.27998916936866,
        "expectancy_R": 0.24527127585026612,
        "pf": 1.4849458249441452,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.12972075374233,
        "win_rate": 0.37209302325581395,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 83,
        "net_R": 6.634324249306768,
        "expectancy_R": 0.07993161746152733,
        "pf": 1.1401564986351012,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.05538009302574,
        "win_rate": 0.3373493975903614,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 84,
        "net_R": -9.677530005831036,
        "expectancy_R": -0.11520869054560758,
        "pf": 0.7985882150977527,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.307367884278065,
        "win_rate": 0.30952380952380953,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 81615.91,
        "rd": 1380.0310324435,
        "sl": 80414.86116117451,
        "tp": 84375.972064887,
        "highest": 82295.47,
        "lowest": 80819.66,
        "bars": 10,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-17 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.364374151144748
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "5e4970e68d045e6d8072"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 271,
        "net_R": 4.322586547350589,
        "expectancy_R": 0.015950503864762322,
        "pf": 1.0283170993400004,
        "max_drawdown_R": 21.916542978366195,
        "win_rate": 0.3062730627306273,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 92,
        "net_R": 17.86277743250822,
        "expectancy_R": 0.19416062426639372,
        "pf": 1.3702184360057967,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.506558837235564,
        "win_rate": 0.34782608695652173,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 100,
        "net_R": -7.819330536091447,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07819330536091447,
        "pf": 0.8499789634648759,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.414286312128114,
        "win_rate": 0.36,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "7825d201f48ca608e4fe"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 254,
        "net_R": -3.486901526390118,
        "expectancy_R": -0.013727958765315426,
        "pf": 0.9758902594230945,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.090118999886244,
        "win_rate": 0.30708661417322836,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 90,
        "net_R": -1.6048557500695435,
        "expectancy_R": -0.01783173055632826,
        "pf": 0.9693842659401839,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.408904935845904,
        "win_rate": 0.32222222222222224,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 95,
        "net_R": -0.3233620716529746,
        "expectancy_R": -0.003403811280557627,
        "pf": 0.9937044631087427,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.656756727402756,
        "win_rate": 0.3368421052631579,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 103.52,
        "rd": 3.236869988184056,
        "sl": 100.66187016015654,
        "tp": 109.9937399763681,
        "highest": 105.28,
        "lowest": 101.25,
        "bars": 11,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-16 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.4303153988527728
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "8a7989a3d3d364e99848"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 239,
        "net_R": -5.296346619788263,
        "expectancy_R": -0.022160446107900682,
        "pf": 0.9570581909910045,
        "max_drawdown_R": 29.121291834701736,
        "win_rate": 0.3263598326359833,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 77,
        "net_R": 25.693468922416308,
        "expectancy_R": 0.33368141457683514,
        "pf": 1.654472686712388,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.851107576661796,
        "win_rate": 0.44155844155844154,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 87,
        "net_R": -1.099452515687946,
        "expectancy_R": -0.012637385237792483,
        "pf": 0.9744843549083874,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.445753675414995,
        "win_rate": 0.3563218390804598,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "a9c282f1f4ee14a22f7c"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 260,
        "net_R": -37.23477523678509,
        "expectancy_R": -0.14321067398763496,
        "pf": 0.7438831725000196,
        "max_drawdown_R": 54.48688562119671,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 84,
        "net_R": 5.495694118773063,
        "expectancy_R": 0.0654249299853936,
        "pf": 1.127946532726964,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.308989129261914,
        "win_rate": 0.35714285714285715,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 93,
        "net_R": -1.593369226240191,
        "expectancy_R": -0.017133002432690225,
        "pf": 0.9703134488666662,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.072223433876154,
        "win_rate": 0.27956989247311825,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "565f2295a165466b5006"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 220,
        "net_R": -30.966353366030837,
        "expectancy_R": -0.14075615166377653,
        "pf": 0.7507284325319347,
        "max_drawdown_R": 40.032010532061534,
        "win_rate": 0.3181818181818182,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 81,
        "net_R": -14.354783990691883,
        "expectancy_R": -0.17721955544064052,
        "pf": 0.725292422849262,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.755002249976318,
        "win_rate": 0.2716049382716049,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 77,
        "net_R": 21.952083225918955,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2850919899469994,
        "pf": 1.4789377959066765,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.899174910500921,
        "win_rate": 0.3116883116883117,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "d2614e284cf58beb3b1b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 230,
        "net_R": -17.82172638223315,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07748576687927457,
        "pf": 0.8628693491008129,
        "max_drawdown_R": 34.98019868729446,
        "win_rate": 0.34782608695652173,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 77,
        "net_R": 6.021872508453992,
        "expectancy_R": 0.07820613647342847,
        "pf": 1.13807214855846,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.82443556555956,
        "win_rate": 0.33766233766233766,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 79,
        "net_R": 17.726405885623446,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2243848846281449,
        "pf": 1.4551358379313666,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.99970971726653,
        "win_rate": 0.3670886075949367,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "10bd17d471638ae4bf1d"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 233,
        "net_R": -17.504413881259076,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07512623983372994,
        "pf": 0.8626888809493841,
        "max_drawdown_R": 30.194208347106876,
        "win_rate": 0.3605150214592275,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 88,
        "net_R": -27.897910042601836,
        "expectancy_R": -0.31702170502956634,
        "pf": 0.49588799496497626,
        "max_drawdown_R": 29.74357591771106,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 76,
        "net_R": 22.781971027220035,
        "expectancy_R": 0.29976277667394785,
        "pf": 1.5543470791381264,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.986553341583882,
        "win_rate": 0.32894736842105265,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "73c920e7213e127eba55"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 225,
        "net_R": -36.429200131981474,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1619075561421399,
        "pf": 0.7392515554353566,
        "max_drawdown_R": 44.553280686133945,
        "win_rate": 0.29333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 79,
        "net_R": -6.812228457335684,
        "expectancy_R": -0.08623073996627448,
        "pf": 0.8660572067090289,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.00582594534297,
        "win_rate": 0.3037974683544304,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 80,
        "net_R": 8.789657134635194,
        "expectancy_R": 0.10987071418293992,
        "pf": 1.1848899837117894,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.384748536832134,
        "win_rate": 0.325,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_RICKSHAWMAN",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "8bd4086cc4cd890a17c8"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 239,
        "net_R": -6.4923640048760465,
        "expectancy_R": -0.02716470294927216,
        "pf": 0.9544965892549668,
        "max_drawdown_R": 27.52810495764421,
        "win_rate": 0.27615062761506276,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 79,
        "net_R": -5.886819087696015,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07451669731260778,
        "pf": 0.8737221295988485,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.407073101634506,
        "win_rate": 0.3291139240506329,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 78,
        "net_R": 7.179877826091964,
        "expectancy_R": 0.09204971571912775,
        "pf": 1.1562532005561033,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.17546698607917,
        "win_rate": 0.3076923076923077,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo