IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

trend/rr2

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "cecac838ec712f0e1794",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "trend",
  "salida": "rr2",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:02.050343+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "492b2004a2af93d0579d"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 20,
        "net_R": 3.2165994190348455,
        "expectancy_R": 0.16082997095174228,
        "pf": 1.2578248527427327,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.192126945235974,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": 0.739730003170451,
        "expectancy_R": 0.1479460006340902,
        "pf": 1.2333845270687156,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.132638448376555,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.075729191739609,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0378645958698045,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.075729191739609,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "9cfb4815dbf25a031934"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": 2.616815568448904,
        "expectancy_R": 0.21806796403740866,
        "pf": 1.3619621780571771,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.161807066686547,
        "win_rate": 0.4166666666666667,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -0.06936987589567223,
        "expectancy_R": -0.023123291965224075,
        "pf": 0.9660098996582106,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0208526899221915,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": 2.758348585013539,
        "expectancy_R": 0.4597247641689232,
        "pf": 1.8870943341148139,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.1094196850732407,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "47249ad2b5c7d5a25470"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": 0.7540388189432394,
        "expectancy_R": 0.0685489835402945,
        "pf": 1.104992150247861,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.11724766289364,
        "win_rate": 0.36363636363636365,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 0,
        "net_R": 0.0,
        "expectancy_R": null,
        "pf": null,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
        "win_rate": null,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -1.1548217603419788,
        "expectancy_R": -0.2887054400854947,
        "pf": 0.6296552468651886,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.0770421981079874,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "1f3a9f947a86b9228f4e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 13,
        "net_R": -1.4237644729180785,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10952034407062142,
        "pf": 0.8466472382160083,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.172205156939451,
        "win_rate": 0.3076923076923077,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 8,
        "net_R": -5.343853220680462,
        "expectancy_R": -0.6679816525850577,
        "pf": 0.26992399465704436,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.319584785107639,
        "win_rate": 0.125,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": -2.2340644534979273,
        "expectancy_R": -0.44681289069958546,
        "pf": 0.46889985520394906,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.1414682967096446,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "08748d4d0e49af6d1e60"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": -5.361472105003488,
        "expectancy_R": -0.48740655500031704,
        "pf": 0.42108897212309543,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.309550373722587,
        "win_rate": 0.18181818181818182,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": 2.813767669109492,
        "expectancy_R": 0.46896127818491534,
        "pf": 1.9094179968309997,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.0940312143749944,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": 1.714709350630591,
        "expectancy_R": 0.24495847866151302,
        "pf": 1.4092433688200896,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.082789615128546,
        "win_rate": 0.42857142857142855,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "be780684026d7d30c54b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 18,
        "net_R": 16.398287053346685,
        "expectancy_R": 0.9110159474081492,
        "pf": 3.506413592686979,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.1766421388813786,
        "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.1993740496210465,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0996870248105233,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.1993740496210465,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": -2.5590932821533237,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5118186564306647,
        "pf": 0.42352703348369264,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.439225134212658,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "7b3f08b29fdb1451e48e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 20,
        "net_R": -0.276846615016344,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0138423307508172,
        "pf": 0.9800753682691993,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.415894740042637,
        "win_rate": 0.35,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -3.216911626776687,
        "expectancy_R": -1.072303875592229,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.216911626776687,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": 4.328168352890091,
        "expectancy_R": 0.6183097646985845,
        "pf": 2.3088965953656975,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.306730545571347,
        "win_rate": 0.5714285714285714,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "a1df20b9dc651cf6ad22"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 10,
        "net_R": -1.6946571417681993,
        "expectancy_R": -0.16946571417681994,
        "pf": 0.7715991012850053,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.5876863680543427,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -0.20919697131240245,
        "expectancy_R": -0.06973232377080081,
        "pf": 0.9012865744517331,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.1192352524542226,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -3.1659706725131063,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0553235575043687,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.1659706725131063,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "09bc2488907964ae82e5"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 14,
        "net_R": 8.738189598942592,
        "expectancy_R": 0.6241563999244708,
        "pf": 2.3309464750235436,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.314300972513287,
        "win_rate": 0.5714285714285714,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -1.416193509334677,
        "expectancy_R": -0.35404837733366923,
        "pf": 0.5625211020108619,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.237169874579502,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": 2.914157488444664,
        "expectancy_R": 0.264923408040424,
        "pf": 1.4455326393542667,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.50112165357363,
        "win_rate": 0.45454545454545453,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "88f7f2a8ecb246ffb026"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 16,
        "net_R": -2.2609448364552147,
        "expectancy_R": -0.14130905227845092,
        "pf": 0.8093888495647704,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.960069178643302,
        "win_rate": 0.3125,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": -0.5908713822452407,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09847856370754011,
        "pf": 0.8682318789904174,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.372075883418642,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": 2.788704978553879,
        "expectancy_R": 0.9295683261846263,
        "pf": 3.619697162774809,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0645142569074875,
        "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo