IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_LONGLINE

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/opp

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "e6e0df6d5aadf6668faf",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_LONGLINE",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "opp",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:02.050343+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "6ceca7e58004b562f697"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 322,
        "net_R": 54.52506375614757,
        "expectancy_R": 0.16933249613710424,
        "pf": 1.327241171496218,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.041143840418357,
        "win_rate": 0.2950310559006211,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 133,
        "net_R": -23.951495142976384,
        "expectancy_R": -0.18008642964643898,
        "pf": 0.6503517034844333,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.011538305327647,
        "win_rate": 0.3082706766917293,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 112,
        "net_R": 15.955772967455953,
        "expectancy_R": 0.14246225863799958,
        "pf": 1.2911431410669856,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.833382356544373,
        "win_rate": 0.32142857142857145,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "4ef5f940a6365cd7040a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 322,
        "net_R": 35.82050159055465,
        "expectancy_R": 0.11124379375948648,
        "pf": 1.2357529388186166,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.846567056726798,
        "win_rate": 0.32608695652173914,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 112,
        "net_R": 6.517206299146713,
        "expectancy_R": 0.05818934195666708,
        "pf": 1.1192463174109069,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.882549081722674,
        "win_rate": 0.3392857142857143,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 107,
        "net_R": 5.336473667057775,
        "expectancy_R": 0.04987358567343715,
        "pf": 1.1172780134944003,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.902887308103427,
        "win_rate": 0.35514018691588783,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2408.63,
        "rd": 54.388178520003635,
        "sl": 2463.018178520004,
        "tp": 2299.8536429599926,
        "highest": 2429.43,
        "lowest": 2368.0,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-18 08:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.4941385652419971
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "8ca4ac95b7abad746c73"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 354,
        "net_R": 15.184700659712995,
        "expectancy_R": 0.04289463463195761,
        "pf": 1.0972150072083693,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.51691507242347,
        "win_rate": 0.3644067796610169,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 136,
        "net_R": -13.921448636064158,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10236359291223646,
        "pf": 0.7964946030922537,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.279968259118828,
        "win_rate": 0.3014705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 125,
        "net_R": 13.196344303818911,
        "expectancy_R": 0.10557075443055129,
        "pf": 1.2342874416090408,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.570342386034667,
        "win_rate": 0.32,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "4a44c4dbb499057c95ba"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 365,
        "net_R": -2.513332318427718,
        "expectancy_R": -0.006885841968295118,
        "pf": 0.9852783778017937,
        "max_drawdown_R": 27.341192986300065,
        "win_rate": 0.29863013698630136,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 115,
        "net_R": 1.5552237369499224,
        "expectancy_R": 0.01352368466912976,
        "pf": 1.028932279861533,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.959319178084804,
        "win_rate": 0.3391304347826087,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 116,
        "net_R": 15.339456686040789,
        "expectancy_R": 0.13223669556931714,
        "pf": 1.3245051921897353,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.727729822007738,
        "win_rate": 0.41379310344827586,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "0d17c89fdf86b859515a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 346,
        "net_R": 31.19222833284169,
        "expectancy_R": 0.09015094893884881,
        "pf": 1.186976291302004,
        "max_drawdown_R": 35.26064906129477,
        "win_rate": 0.315028901734104,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 132,
        "net_R": -2.1115709085920207,
        "expectancy_R": -0.01599674930751531,
        "pf": 0.9634608327217336,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.702532978163894,
        "win_rate": 0.3484848484848485,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 122,
        "net_R": 8.122056815704186,
        "expectancy_R": 0.0665742361942966,
        "pf": 1.149034105325795,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.126304226846644,
        "win_rate": 0.32786885245901637,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2931,
        "rd": 0.03316836914968929,
        "sl": 1.3262683691496893,
        "tp": 1.2267632617006212,
        "highest": 1.3063,
        "lowest": 1.2687,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-17 16:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.5431846805217025
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-09 20:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 12:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ac95359e8e791183c480"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 374,
        "net_R": -52.80478748557033,
        "expectancy_R": -0.14118927135179232,
        "pf": 0.7346176160546716,
        "max_drawdown_R": 60.95120407693052,
        "win_rate": 0.2647058823529412,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 129,
        "net_R": -15.030879467688525,
        "expectancy_R": -0.11651844548595756,
        "pf": 0.7628885438023335,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.424135050101793,
        "win_rate": 0.3178294573643411,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 129,
        "net_R": -19.35563932297948,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1500437156820115,
        "pf": 0.7144722522328018,
        "max_drawdown_R": 29.265492194694414,
        "win_rate": 0.24031007751937986,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "1c69ea32c9534fa9911e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 353,
        "net_R": -8.162549628654393,
        "expectancy_R": -0.023123370052845305,
        "pf": 0.9522496115130765,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.00980027609385,
        "win_rate": 0.28895184135977336,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 136,
        "net_R": -14.042156079129693,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10325114764065951,
        "pf": 0.7957811819605328,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.87065681100289,
        "win_rate": 0.3088235294117647,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 111,
        "net_R": -19.62439701074036,
        "expectancy_R": -0.17679636946612937,
        "pf": 0.6307068979279342,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.324550834367578,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2419.15,
        "rd": 20.121901810269883,
        "sl": 2439.27190181027,
        "tp": 2378.90619637946,
        "highest": 2421.99,
        "lowest": 2368.0,
        "bars": 5,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-18 11:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.8582022143114059
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ca5edd913f837258cf3f"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 381,
        "net_R": -20.01920380219381,
        "expectancy_R": -0.05254384200050869,
        "pf": 0.8856604629353002,
        "max_drawdown_R": 32.28371301141622,
        "win_rate": 0.30183727034120733,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 131,
        "net_R": -23.730308109995264,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1811473901526356,
        "pf": 0.6524112177724181,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.399455630353643,
        "win_rate": 0.2900763358778626,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 111,
        "net_R": 19.368932180721536,
        "expectancy_R": 0.17449488451100484,
        "pf": 1.3500920906730653,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.192662060804917,
        "win_rate": 0.32432432432432434,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 103.85,
        "rd": 1.196688072686531,
        "sl": 105.04668807268652,
        "tp": 101.45662385462693,
        "highest": 104.37,
        "lowest": 101.75,
        "bars": 11,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-18 05:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.2676319206511835
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "522df692b4e680a734c3"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 398,
        "net_R": -55.53579397574072,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13953717079331837,
        "pf": 0.7174257095514192,
        "max_drawdown_R": 55.59537602678656,
        "win_rate": 0.2889447236180904,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 137,
        "net_R": -21.520497861333908,
        "expectancy_R": -0.157083925995138,
        "pf": 0.7260928857236699,
        "max_drawdown_R": 29.446611721842142,
        "win_rate": 0.2773722627737226,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 124,
        "net_R": -0.10585002222866136,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0008536292115214625,
        "pf": 0.9982583660119173,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.444902851831703,
        "win_rate": 0.3064516129032258,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_LONGLINE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ae0762681c364790fa3a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 363,
        "net_R": -6.441543648272365,
        "expectancy_R": -0.017745299306535442,
        "pf": 0.9621821641749104,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.975749042818777,
        "win_rate": 0.30303030303030304,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 141,
        "net_R": -4.8307530735430095,
        "expectancy_R": -0.034260660096049715,
        "pf": 0.9243683922768293,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.673345422923216,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 123,
        "net_R": -12.377585391879732,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10063077554373766,
        "pf": 0.7957271761991084,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.990173406763446,
        "win_rate": 0.3089430894308943,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-08 17:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-10-18 15:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo